Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.005657 0.005979 0.006313 0.006686 0.007091 0.007520 0.008008
2026-02-08 0.005095 0.005560 0.006065 0.006657 0.007336 0.008096 0.009015
2026-02-15 0.004755 0.005300 0.005911 0.006652 0.007534 0.008563 0.009867
2026-02-22 0.004449 0.005038 0.005714 0.006556 0.007590 0.008835 0.010473
2026-03-01 0.004203 0.004822 0.005547 0.006471 0.007633 0.009074 0.011035
2026-03-08 0.004034 0.004684 0.005459 0.006465 0.007763 0.009416 0.011742
2026-03-15 0.003795 0.004445 0.005230 0.006266 0.007627 0.009396 0.011949
2026-03-22 0.003683 0.004357 0.005182 0.006289 0.007773 0.009750 0.012691
2026-03-29 0.003607 0.004306 0.005176 0.006363 0.007987 0.010204 0.013604
2026-04-05 0.003480 0.004186 0.005073 0.006301 0.008008 0.010386 0.014126
2026-04-12 0.003387 0.004105 0.005017 0.006296 0.008105 0.010676 0.014830
2026-04-19 0.003283 0.004004 0.004929 0.006243 0.008128 0.010857 0.015373
2026-04-26 0.003251 0.003997 0.004968 0.006368 0.008415 0.011452 0.016643
2026-05-03 0.003165 0.003916 0.004902 0.006340 0.008477 0.011707 0.017373
2026-05-10 0.003093 0.003850 0.004854 0.006336 0.008570 0.012013 0.018216
2026-05-17 0.002997 0.003748 0.004752 0.006247 0.008528 0.012099 0.018672
2026-05-24 0.002909 0.003655 0.004658 0.006167 0.008495 0.012195 0.019152
2026-05-31 0.002851 0.003600 0.004618 0.006162 0.008578 0.012486 0.020022
2026-06-07 0.002738 0.003467 0.004460 0.005976 0.008364 0.012262 0.019881
2026-06-14 0.002695 0.003431 0.004440 0.005997 0.008483 0.012614 0.020902
2026-06-21 0.002670 0.003417 0.004452 0.006066 0.008682 0.013116 0.022283
2026-06-28 0.002608 0.003350 0.004384 0.006009 0.008668 0.013238 0.022883
2026-07-05 0.002564 0.003308 0.004351 0.006004 0.008741 0.013522 0.023862